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Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
#9095511
08/21/24 05:21 PM
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 21,596
Sniper John
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gumshoe
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9095516
08/21/24 05:31 PM
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Sniper John
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Looks like in 2025 we go back to a 9 day Teal season, but we may get a three Pintail bag limit.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9097044
08/23/24 08:40 PM
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Joined: May 2018
Posts: 1,174
2flyfish4
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So with the 3 pintail, any stipulation on hen limits? Surely they aren't going to allow more than 1 hen pintail out of the 3 pintails in your bag.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9098704
08/27/24 01:19 AM
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Greekangler
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Modern day hunting pressure doesn’t effect waterfowl populations- in January the last few weeks of the season, both 2023 and 2024 we could have shot many 6 man limits of pintail drakes. We were covered up
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9099305
08/28/24 02:53 AM
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2flyfish4
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So when does harvest matter?
Why doesn't all the lower 48 states have the same limits and season lengths as Mexico and Canada?
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180001
02/01/25 06:50 PM
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Joined: Aug 2016
Posts: 171
djdoubl3j
Woodsman
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Woodsman
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I thought the 3 pintail limit was on the pacific flyway?
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180037
02/01/25 09:22 PM
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2flyfish4
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I think it's across all flyways. But the states still have the option to adopt it or not.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Greekangler]
#9180053
02/01/25 11:02 PM
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woodduckhunter
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Modern day hunting pressure doesn’t effect waterfowl populations- in January the last few weeks of the season, both 2023 and 2024 we could have shot many 6 man limits of pintail drakes. We were covered up [quote=Sniper John][quote=2flyfish4]So with the 3 pintail, any stipulation on hen limits? Surely they aren't going to allow more than 1 hen pintail out of the 3 pintails in your bag. You are smarter than that Greek. I know the Usfws says it....but come on people. It is so simple i need help understanding. How can shooting and killing an animal not have an impact on the population??? These same people said market hunting and punt guns put a damper on em back in the day. If they did, what do you think these big time clubs that tout season kill numbers in the thousands are doing??? Duck hunting isn’t catch and release
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180072
02/02/25 12:07 AM
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Posts: 21,596
Sniper John
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It looks like the three pintail limit is basically a research trial. Originally from Jan/Feb 2025 DU magazine. https://www.fws.gov/story/new-era-pintail-regulationsWhile harvest can affect pintail survival and population size, scientists agree that its effect is small compared to that of annual breeding habitat conditions. A key outcome of the new modeling effort is a recognition of the potential for more liberal bag limits without jeopardizing the health of the pintail population. The new strategy also attempts to address concerns of state agencies and their constituents regarding restrictive pintail regulations under previous harvest strategies. However, given the limited experience with three-pintail bag limits in recent years, the new strategy is being implemented on an interim basis and will be monitored annually to address any issues that may emerge. After a three-pintail bag limit has been implemented for three waterfowl seasons, which do not necessarily have to occur in consecutive years, the Service and Flyway Councils will reevaluate the strategy to decide if it meets the objectives and make changes if needed. Following are frequently asked questions about the new approach, its implications for duck hunters, and what we can expect from population management in the coming years. And the article addresses the other question too. Does the new harvest strategy for pintails include different bag limits for drakes and hens? No. The new strategy does not include sex restrictions. Any combination of male and female pintails may be legally harvested as long as the total does not exceed the allowable pintail limit. Though it might seem counterintuitive, the most recent research and scientific modeling show us that restricting the harvest of female pintails would not meaningfully affect the subsequent breeding population. Another underlying objective of the new strategy is to minimize the complexity of regulations.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180093
02/02/25 12:49 AM
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2flyfish4
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2024 BPOP numbers had pintail at 1.98 million birds. Down from 2.22 million in 2023.
If pintail numbers drop below 1.3 million. Pintail season is closed entirely.
Increasing the limit 3x has to have some negative consequences on the population.
I think as hunters we have to ask ourselves. Do we want 1 pintail per day or none, bc there is a really good chance populations drop below the 1.3mill in the next 2-3 years with the increasing the limit to 3x. Especially if it remains relatively dry on the prairies.
I couldn't find any pintail harvest rates per north America on Google. Its just says the pintail harvest rate is unknown. Surely that data is known, if it's not, it crazy to think they want to increase limits 3x. Which I suspect they really don't know, bc HIP doesn't ask for specific duck species.
From what I understand there has been very little snow fall on the prairies so far this winter and looks to be another tough year for duck production.
Last edited by 2flyfish4; 02/02/25 01:37 AM.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180119
02/02/25 01:54 AM
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Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 560
woodduckhunter
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It looks like the three pintail limit is basically a research trial. Originally from Jan/Feb 2025 DU magazine. https://www.fws.gov/story/new-era-pintail-regulationsAny combination of male and female pintails may be legally harvested as long as the total does not exceed the allowable pintail limit. Though it might seem counterintuitive, the most recent research and scientific modeling show us that restricting the harvest of female pintails would not meaningfully affect the subsequent breeding population. Another underlying objective of the new strategy is to minimize the complexity of regulations. ?????? Instead of scientific modeling, let’s use real world sense. Harvesting of breeding pintail hens will affect the subsequent breeding population. Anyone who says it doesn’t is unfamiliar with any type of animal(wildlife or domestic) breeding and multiplication table. And if you don’t know much about animals in general, which apparently a lot don’t, you could relate it to compound interest.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180123
02/02/25 01:58 AM
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Posts: 560
woodduckhunter
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Goodness, do they really think people believe anything they put out? I’m confused as to why time, effort, and money were spent on predator management and paying farmers to not disc within a couple hundred yards of wetlands(mini CRP)??? It’s just a few pintail hens.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180165
02/02/25 04:59 AM
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Joined: Aug 2016
Posts: 171
djdoubl3j
Woodsman
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Woodsman
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Yeah the whole system needs to be looked at. Across the board. Same thing is happening with the Sandhills cranes I bet it drops to 2 in the next few years.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: woodduckhunter]
#9180173
02/02/25 05:58 AM
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 21,596
Sniper John
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It looks like the three pintail limit is basically a research trial. Originally from Jan/Feb 2025 DU magazine. https://www.fws.gov/story/new-era-pintail-regulationsAny combination of male and female pintails may be legally harvested as long as the total does not exceed the allowable pintail limit. Though it might seem counterintuitive, the most recent research and scientific modeling show us that restricting the harvest of female pintails would not meaningfully affect the subsequent breeding population. Another underlying objective of the new strategy is to minimize the complexity of regulations. ?????? Instead of scientific modeling, let’s use real world sense. Harvesting of breeding pintail hens will affect the subsequent breeding population. Anyone who says it doesn’t is unfamiliar with any type of animal(wildlife or domestic) breeding and multiplication table. And if you don’t know much about animals in general, which apparently a lot don’t, you could relate it to compound interest. Don't shoot the messenger. I was just sharing the link from the USFW. I personally would prefer we go back to the 1988 duck limit. Pressure was low, I could take my 3 ducks easily without long walks or boat rides, no need to camp out on spots, and repeat every day.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180218
02/02/25 02:06 PM
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Posts: 1,024
DUKFVR
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It looks like the three pintail limit is basically a research trial. Originally from Jan/Feb 2025 DU magazine. https://www.fws.gov/story/new-era-pintail-regulationsAny combination of male and female pintails may be legally harvested as long as the total does not exceed the allowable pintail limit. Though it might seem counterintuitive, the most recent research and scientific modeling show us that restricting the harvest of female pintails would not meaningfully affect the subsequent breeding population. Another underlying objective of the new strategy is to minimize the complexity of regulations. ?????? Instead of scientific modeling, let’s use real world sense. Harvesting of breeding pintail hens will affect the subsequent breeding population. Anyone who says it doesn’t is unfamiliar with any type of animal(wildlife or domestic) breeding and multiplication table. And if you don’t know much about animals in general, which apparently a lot don’t, you could relate it to compound interest. Don't shoot the messenger. I was just sharing the link from the USFW. I personally would prefer we go back to the 1988 duck limit. Pressure was low, I could take my 3 ducks easily without long walks or boat rides, no need to camp out on spots, and repeat every day. I agree 100% Lets give the birds a well deserved break.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180462
02/02/25 11:00 PM
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Posts: 560
woodduckhunter
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This 3 pintail thing(all of which can be hens) is really something wild. In an already declining population that we don’t have a solid answer for, let’s triple the allowed harvest...that’ll help them out. I know a random single pintail drake is taken here and there, but in a lot of situations, if one pintail is shot, 3 could’ve been. Mallards are way down as well.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: DUKFVR]
#9180569
02/03/25 01:30 AM
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Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 2,143
Greekangler
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Hunter harvesting doesn’t affect populations, based on just about all studies I have seen. We have seen piles of pintails, 90% drakes, the last 3 years. I don’t think it will matter.
So, out of the 3, only 1 hen permitted? All hens, I don’t agree with.
Last edited by Greekangler; 02/03/25 01:31 AM.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180634
02/03/25 03:20 AM
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Posts: 560
woodduckhunter
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Once again, let’s do away with models and scientific studying, use real sense. Common sense, if there is any left out there. How can killing something not have an impact on the population?
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9180637
02/03/25 03:23 AM
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Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 560
woodduckhunter
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And the article addresses the other question too.
Does the new harvest strategy for pintails include different bag limits for drakes and hens? No. The new strategy does not include sex restrictions. Any combination of male and female pintails may be legally harvested as long as the total does not exceed the allowable pintail limit. Though it might seem counterintuitive, the most recent research and scientific modeling show us that restricting the harvest of female pintails would not meaningfully affect the subsequent breeding population. Another underlying objective of the new strategy is to minimize the complexity of regulations.
From snipers post above, I take it that you can shoot 3 pintail hens.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: woodduckhunter]
#9181427
02/04/25 05:30 PM
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Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 5,954
LarryCopper
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Once again, let’s do away with models and scientific studying, use real sense. Common sense, if there is any left out there. How can killing something not have an impact on the population? It does, but all the studies have shown that by far the greatest impact on duck numbers is the condition of the breeding grounds in the spring and summer. Also, hunter related mortality is a drop in the bucket in the big picture. Long story short, the claim is that having 10%+ more hens make it back up north means nothing if the breeding grounds aren't right. On the flip side, a smaller population can rebound fast under the right conditions and have the same production in numbers as a larger population. Their data, not mine, but I do avoid taking hentails. Of the 12 I took this year, all were drakes.
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9181433
02/04/25 05:38 PM
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woodduckhunter
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And how many hens get shot each year? How do they know how many were killed altogether? When I do my HIP to get a license, how they know if my 44 ducks were gadwalls or pintail hens? They are studying and coming up with all these educated theories without concrete data and/or statistics
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: woodduckhunter]
#9181457
02/04/25 06:35 PM
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Posts: 21,596
Sniper John
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And how many hens get shot each year? How do they know how many were killed altogether? When I do my HIP to get a license, how they know if my 44 ducks were gadwalls or pintail hens? They are studying and coming up with all these educated theories without concrete data and/or statistics I think the HIP survey is mostly only used to select hunters for the diary and wing surveys. I have been selected for one of these a few times over the years. I have been asked to participate a lot of times if I include the ones for migratory bird species other than waterfowl. Those secondary waterfowl surveys of course indicate sex, and with the wing survey would include age and sex after inspecting the wings sent in. Of course they are only able to get a small portion of hunter data to use to get a best guess on the whole due to funding and manpower, but for hunter surveys that is how it is done. Waterfowl breeding surveys are done by flyovers and counting birds seen and have their own problems. I remember reading one of the things they may have been doing was for example if three lone mallard drakes were seen on a flooded pothole, they would count three nesting hens on an assumption even though they did not actually see the hens. https://www.fws.gov/sites/default/f...-2022-23-and-2023-24-hunting-seasons.pdf
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: Sniper John]
#9181617
02/04/25 10:35 PM
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Posts: 560
woodduckhunter
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In 28 years of having a texas hunting license I have never received or heard of such....pretty small data sample
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Re: Waterfowl Population Status, 2024
[Re: woodduckhunter]
#9181655
02/04/25 11:37 PM
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Posts: 1,174
2flyfish4
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I've been asked once in nearly 30 years to do the wing survey.
HIP should be an app on our phone that we have to report all species shot, along with hen or drake.
I'm in agreement they(TP&W and USFW) doesn't have a clue on what species, hens or drakes, or an accurate number of waterfowl we as hunters shoot every season. Mostly bc they make half [censored] attempts at gathering that information.
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