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Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087096 08/06/24 05:06 AM
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Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087110 08/06/24 09:40 AM
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I’ve been expecting this reality check. Essentially, Congress and Biden have looted the economy (created debt) with all the build back and build back better BS. They have created money and debt that lowered the value of the dollar and acted like kids in a candy store. This stuff is Economics 101.


Without a sense of urgency, nothing ever happens.

Boy, if I say "sic em", you'd better look for something to bite. Sam Shelley, Rancher Muleshoe Texas 1892-1985 RIP
Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: txtrophy85] #9087187 08/06/24 01:38 PM
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Originally Posted by txtrophy85
Originally Posted by tlk
I was in the investment business for over 40 years. First off nobody but nobody can consistently time the market perfectly. It is always a moving target that is impossible to totally time on a long term basis.

The other thing folks overlook is this - if you are more than five years out from retirement then stay in the market and ride it out - history shows that it will eventually rally back and provide good returns.

On the other hand if you are within five years of retirement and/or in retirement then you should have your exposure to the market scaled back. I am not saying stay out of the market but your exposure should less than it was while you were in the accumulation phase. The reason being that if you are fully in the market and close to or into retirement is that you most likely are drawing out some of your money for income. If the market tanks but you have to continue pulling money out it is a double whammy and will take way longer to recoup your losses.



Advice like this helps keep me sane.



Put 3 years worth in CDs. Leave the rest in the market

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: blanked] #9087284 08/06/24 03:55 PM
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Originally Posted by blanked
Originally Posted by txtrophy85
Originally Posted by tlk
I was in the investment business for over 40 years. First off nobody but nobody can consistently time the market perfectly. It is always a moving target that is impossible to totally time on a long term basis.

The other thing folks overlook is this - if you are more than five years out from retirement then stay in the market and ride it out - history shows that it will eventually rally back and provide good returns.

On the other hand if you are within five years of retirement and/or in retirement then you should have your exposure to the market scaled back. I am not saying stay out of the market but your exposure should less than it was while you were in the accumulation phase. The reason being that if you are fully in the market and close to or into retirement is that you most likely are drawing out some of your money for income. If the market tanks but you have to continue pulling money out it is a double whammy and will take way longer to recoup your losses.



Advice like this helps keep me sane.



Put 3 years worth in CDs. Leave the rest in the market

What blanked said, that is exactly how to think about it, especially to simplify the way you look at investing and keep your sanity. It’s what I have been saying on here for years now, you need to think what % of my portfolio I want in “risk free investment” (CDs, T-Bills, Money Market…) vs “The Market” (risky market portfolio). That portfolio percentage split is personal preference, based on how much risk you want to take. The Risk Free portion of your portfolio you need to try and maximize, get the best rates you can. The Market Portfolio portion of your portfolio you just want to be diversified.

It’s really that simple.

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Ol Thumper] #9087366 08/06/24 06:20 PM
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Originally Posted by Ol Thumper
Originally Posted by Judd
One uppers unite...this thread has some serious potential rofl


Shut yo mouf pretty boy……



Whoa there, ain't no one ever called Judd "pretty", I mean he's the only extra on The Walking Dead that didn't need zombie makeup.

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087385 08/06/24 06:44 PM
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Market back up today, I just looked for the first time. So much for a crash. roflmao

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087396 08/06/24 06:53 PM
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Originally Posted by Guy
Market back up today, I just looked for the first time. So much for a crash. roflmao


Yep, it's silly. We will know how the market really looks come a week from now

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: TLew] #9087411 08/06/24 07:10 PM
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Originally Posted by TLew
Originally Posted by Guy
Market back up today, I just looked for the first time. So much for a crash. roflmao


Yep, it's silly. We will know how the market really looks come a week from now

It’s silly to look at market fluctuations week to week as well. But what big thing is happening this week? WW3 scares me.

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087419 08/06/24 07:16 PM
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Ive probably said it before but Guy seems a real good guy to listen to on the basics of this stuff.


At some point in life its time to quit chasing the pot of gold and just enjoy the rainbow. FR
Keep your gratitude higher than your expectations. RWH
Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087423 08/06/24 07:23 PM
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Originally Posted by Guy
Originally Posted by TLew
Originally Posted by Guy
Market back up today, I just looked for the first time. So much for a crash. roflmao


Yep, it's silly. We will know how the market really looks come a week from now

It’s silly to look at market fluctuations week to week as well. But what big thing is happening this week? WW3 scares me.


100% agree, and that's not how I look at it. My point about a week from now was related to all the doom and gloom about a "crash". People bought today thinking it was oversold yesterday. We will understand a little better on extremely short term trajectory this time next week.

My message hasn't changed from the other thread. There is a lot of doom and gloom but the market isn't going to crash. We need a correction and then sideline cash can come back in to reach new highs

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087433 08/06/24 07:43 PM
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Sold all my Bitcoin when it previously hit $65K and put a buy order in if it were to hit $58K. I was actually surprised I got an email saying my buy had been processed. Couldn't believe it had tanked so much last time I looked it was around $68K.

Granted it was only a $1200 buy rofl I now own 0.02028973% of one coin, but so far its been the only crypto sell high buy "lower" that I've pulled off. I always seem to screw myself and sell way too low and then FOMO and buy too high. I feel accomplished.



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Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: tlk] #9087454 08/06/24 08:23 PM
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Originally Posted by tlk
I was in the investment business for over 40 years. First off nobody but nobody can consistently time the market perfectly. It is always a moving target that is impossible to totally time on a long term basis.

The other thing folks overlook is this - if you are more than five years out from retirement then stay in the market and ride it out - history shows that it will eventually rally back and provide good returns.

On the other hand if you are within five years of retirement and/or in retirement then you should have your exposure to the market scaled back. I am not saying stay out of the market but your exposure should less than it was while you were in the accumulation phase. The reason being that if you are fully in the market and close to or into retirement is that you most likely are drawing out some of your money for income. If the market tanks but you have to continue pulling money out it is a double whammy and will take way longer to recoup your losses.

The Pelosi's aren't far off from more than one homerun in the market.

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Big Fitz] #9087456 08/06/24 08:24 PM
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Originally Posted by Big Fitz
Originally Posted by Ol Thumper
Originally Posted by Judd
One uppers unite...this thread has some serious potential rofl


Shut yo mouf pretty boy……



Whoa there, ain't no one ever called Judd "pretty", I mean he's the only extra on The Walking Dead that didn't need zombie makeup.

clap


SPACE FOR RENT


Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: KRoyal] #9087461 08/06/24 08:29 PM
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Originally Posted by KRoyal
Sold all my Bitcoin when it previously hit $65K and put a buy order in if it were to hit $58K. I was actually surprised I got an email saying my buy had been processed. Couldn't believe it had tanked so much last time I looked it was around $68K.

Granted it was only a $1200 buy rofl I now own 0.02028973% of one coin, but so far its been the only crypto sell high buy "lower" that I've pulled off. I always seem to screw myself and sell way too low and then FOMO and buy too high. I feel accomplished.

Some of you may have heard that Trump was a speaker at Bitcoin2024 last week. When a reporter asked him about how he would address the out-of-control US debt, he said, “maybe we’ll write a little crypto check to pay off the $35 trillion debt…”

As a crypto guy, I thought good soundbite, but also thought it was a truly insane and frightening proposition for dealing with the debt.

Here’s why: the global market cap for Bitcoin is currently only ~$1 trillion. To put his statement into perspective, let’s do some math. If the 210,000 Bitcoins owned by the US were worth $35 trillion, your $1,200 investment would skyrocket to a staggering $3.38 million.

This means each of the 210,000 US Bitcoins would need to be valued at an astronomical $166,666,666.67 ($166.6 million) each. All those 666s…Hum… now it sort of makes sense…

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Blue Moon] #9087465 08/06/24 08:32 PM
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Pres Trump will not be president again.................funny how he was the one wounded in the head and then was healed just fine..............lol

did any of yall think about that head wound

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: jimmiereese1964] #9087469 08/06/24 08:38 PM
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Originally Posted by jimmiereese1964
Pres Trump will not be president again.................funny how he was the one wounded in the head and then was healed just fine..............lol

did any of yall think about that head wound

Good grief man!



Awake - Not Woke!
Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: jimmiereese1964] #9087471 08/06/24 08:39 PM
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Originally Posted by jimmiereese1964
Pres Trump will not be president again.................funny how he was the one wounded in the head and then was healed just fine..............lol

did any of yall think about that head wound

You need to find another forum to hangout on.

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: angus1956] #9087477 08/06/24 08:48 PM
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Originally Posted by angus1956
Originally Posted by jimmiereese1964
Pres Trump will not be president again.................funny how he was the one wounded in the head and then was healed just fine..............lol

did any of yall think about that head wound

You need to find another forum to hangout on.

I suspect a bot has joined the tribe...

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Blue Moon] #9087486 08/06/24 09:10 PM
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Originally Posted by Blue Moon
Originally Posted by angus1956
Originally Posted by jimmiereese1964
Pres Trump will not be president again.................funny how he was the one wounded in the head and then was healed just fine..............lol

did any of yall think about that head wound

You need to find another forum to hangout on.

I suspect a bot has joined the tribe...

Chinese "influencer."


Make America Great Again

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Blue Moon] #9087488 08/06/24 09:11 PM
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Originally Posted by Blue Moon
Originally Posted by angus1956
Originally Posted by jimmiereese1964
Pres Trump will not be president again.................funny how he was the one wounded in the head and then was healed just fine..............lol

did any of yall think about that head wound

You need to find another forum to hangout on.

I suspect a bot has joined the tribe...

A bot would write correct punctuation, right?

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087490 08/06/24 09:17 PM
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Originally Posted by Guy
Originally Posted by Blue Moon
Originally Posted by angus1956
Originally Posted by jimmiereese1964
Pres Trump will not be president again.................funny how he was the one wounded in the head and then was healed just fine..............lol

did any of yall think about that head wound

You need to find another forum to hangout on.

I suspect a bot has joined the tribe...

A bot would write correct punctuation, right?

TFF'er


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Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: topwater13] #9087507 08/06/24 09:42 PM
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Originally Posted by topwater13
Originally Posted by tlk
I was in the investment business for over 40 years. First off nobody but nobody can consistently time the market perfectly. It is always a moving target that is impossible to totally time on a long term basis.

The other thing folks overlook is this - if you are more than five years out from retirement then stay in the market and ride it out - history shows that it will eventually rally back and provide good returns.

On the other hand if you are within five years of retirement and/or in retirement then you should have your exposure to the market scaled back. I am not saying stay out of the market but your exposure should less than it was while you were in the accumulation phase. The reason being that if you are fully in the market and close to or into retirement is that you most likely are drawing out some of your money for income. If the market tanks but you have to continue pulling money out it is a double whammy and will take way longer to recoup your losses.


The Pelosi's aren't far off from more than one homerun in the market.


not real sure what that means


You can't fix stupid
Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: tlk] #9087540 08/06/24 10:27 PM
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How do you know Im wrong?

A head wound and then everything is fine?

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: jimmiereese1964] #9087543 08/06/24 10:29 PM
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Originally Posted by jimmiereese1964
How do you know Im wrong?

A head wound and then everything is fine?


It wasn’t a head wound you big dummy.

Re: Stock Market Crash [Re: Guy] #9087548 08/06/24 10:33 PM
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yep.........the democrats say he wasnt shot in the head.

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