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Doesn't look good
#2555858
09/03/11 12:29 PM
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Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 15,061
don k
OP
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OP
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Posts: 15,061 |
Storms are all missing us. The first cool front is dry. NOAA says the drought goes on through the first part of next year.None of the oaks that still have leaves have any acorns. Persimmons are drying up and have no fruit. Does not look good.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: don k]
#2555869
09/03/11 12:39 PM
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Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 1,636
Texpppr
Pro Tracker
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Pro Tracker
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 1,636 |
Yes.. where is the rain. we got a little in the lower RGV the other morning..still cracked dirt
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: Texpppr]
#2555897
09/03/11 01:01 PM
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Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 3,704
grout-scout
Extreme Tracker
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Extreme Tracker
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 3,704 |
Heck just think about how many oak trees will not survive this spell. Said on the news the other night the worst year during the 50's drought only had 17" of rain, San Antonio has only had 7" so far so this will def. be the worst drought in history. Here in Boerne we have had more like 2-3 inches. Amazing and who really knows, this thing could last as long as it wants, in which case we will def. be out of water.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: grout-scout]
#2556109
09/03/11 03:50 PM
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Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 128
DeerSmokeScreen.com
Woodsman
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Woodsman
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 128 |
I have done a lot of research on this subject and this is what I have found. I am not an expert but I do like to study the history of our weather patterns. Once a high pressure zone gets established like the one over Texas, it is really hard to break. The Sun heats up the ground and then it creates a high pressure zone that pushes everything away. This year is similar to what happened in 1954 when it pushed all of the Hurricanes that originated in the South Atlantic up the Eastern Sea board. The only chance we have for good rain from this hurricane season is from a storm that originates in the West side of our Gulf. If you look at the paths of the storms in 1954, you can see how the high pressure zone over Texas pushed all of the Hurricanes up the Eastern Sea Board, just like it is happening this year. However, check out the paths of the few storms that originated in the Gulf in 1954. I saw a meteorologist on TV that said we could get some rain from a storm that originates in the gulf. It may be wishful thinking but at least there is a chance. God Bless Texas!!!
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: DeerSmokeScreen.com]
#2556132
09/03/11 04:03 PM
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Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 29,126
Western
THF Celebrity
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Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 29,126 |
From what I heard on the DFW news, we have already broke the record for drought. The economic loses are upwards of 8 billion!
My neighbor and I each have 15.5 acres, we have lost about 30 Oak trees, most of the other trees are ones we planted for deer (Red cedar and several varieties of Oaks) have died even with being watered.
Last year we had bumper crops of acorns and ended up turning off the feeders by the end of November because the corn was piling up. This year the deer are waiting by the "back door" for the soup kitchen to open.
Agriculture in Texas will be set back and if you raise cattle, you may want to spend an extra day at church every month.
If at first you dont succeed, then skydiving is not for you..
"Don't trust everything you read on the Internet"- Abraham Lincoln Dennis
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: Western]
#2556597
09/03/11 10:05 PM
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Joined: May 2011
Posts: 586
glasshole
Tracker
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Tracker
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 586 |
deer smoke screen...that is good info and make since. thanks for sharing eventhough it made me sad
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: glasshole]
#2556643
09/03/11 10:43 PM
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Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 16,352
aeb
THF Celebrity
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Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 16,352 |
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: aeb]
#2556699
09/03/11 11:31 PM
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Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 152
BACONHEAD
Woodsman
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Woodsman
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 152 |
Good research Smokescreen and info..
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: DeerSmokeScreen.com]
#2556793
09/04/11 01:07 AM
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Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 693
TX35
Tracker
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Tracker
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 693 |
I have done a lot of research on this subject and this is what I have found. I am not an expert but I do like to study the history of our weather patterns. Once a high pressure zone gets established like the one over Texas, it is really hard to break. The Sun heats up the ground and then it creates a high pressure zone that pushes everything away. This year is similar to what happened in 1954 when it pushed all of the Hurricanes that originated in the South Atlantic up the Eastern Sea board. The only chance we have for good rain from this hurricane season is from a storm that originates in the West side of our Gulf. If you look at the paths of the storms in 1954, you can see how the high pressure zone over Texas pushed all of the Hurricanes up the Eastern Sea Board, just like it is happening this year. However, check out the paths of the few storms that originated in the Gulf in 1954. I saw a meteorologist on TV that said we could get some rain from a storm that originates in the gulf. It may be wishful thinking but at least there is a chance. God Bless Texas!!! I also believe we are going to have another La Nina winter (meaning a dry one). Now, if we were to have an El Nino winter, it would be a wet one!! Lord, are you listening?? Please give us all some rain! Please!!!
“I won't be wronged, I won't be insulted, and I won't be laid a hand on. I don't do these things to other people, and I require the same from them."
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: TX35]
#2556800
09/04/11 01:12 AM
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Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 693
TX35
Tracker
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Tracker
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 693 |
Oh, for the record I would take rain over a few degrees in temperature drop....
“I won't be wronged, I won't be insulted, and I won't be laid a hand on. I don't do these things to other people, and I require the same from them."
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: TX35]
#2559478
09/05/11 03:44 PM
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Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 15,061
don k
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OP
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Have found 6 dead deer in the last few weeks. Not on mine, but on places I have leased to run stock on. One of the places does a little feeding all year and the other not at all until deer season.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: don k]
#2559499
09/05/11 03:57 PM
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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,764
passthru
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It's ugly alright. We are fortunate we have 3 tanks with water still on our place but the feed isn't there. We just got on there and we have feeders up and throwing corn. Just got our pens up last weekend and this weekend I will get protein going as well. Can't afford to fatten them up with the high feed costs but hopefully we can keep them going. Hopefully when the rains come it will be gradual and soaking.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: passthru]
#2560001
09/05/11 07:58 PM
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 32,995
txtrophy85
THF Celebrity
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THF Celebrity
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 32,995 |
went across hwy 41 near the Y.O to rocksprings last wednesday.
country was as bad as i'd ever seen it.
literally wanted to cry
For it is not the quarry that we truly seek, but the adventure.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: don k]
#2560217
09/05/11 10:01 PM
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 22,272
7mag
THF Celebrity
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 22,272 |
Landowner/outfitter has sold all livestock............and taken out drought insurance. Fawn survival is the worst it has ever been. Next yr predicting as bad if not worse..........hold on, bumpy ride ahead
"Laugh with many, but don't trust any"
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: txtrophy85]
#2560241
09/05/11 10:12 PM
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Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 60,296
stxranchman
Obie Juan Kenobi
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Obie Juan Kenobi
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 60,296 |
went across hwy 41 near the Y.O to rocksprings last wednesday.
country was as bad as i'd ever seen it.
literally wanted to cry That area is pretty bad but the area along 479 north of Harper back towards Mason is really bad if not worse than HWY 41 and the area north of Brady was really bad 6 weeks ago and I can only imagine what it looks like now.
Are idiots multiplying faster than normal people?
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: stxranchman]
#2560247
09/05/11 10:15 PM
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Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 17,745
Txduckman
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Went to our place in Montague for the first time since April - 3 out of 5 water sources dried up. Large fish/duck pond is almost dried up. I should have ate the 5 lb bass I caught there in March. Only good source is a well pumped tank. Saw 6 deer at it at 6 pm. I have never seen deer go to water anywhere on the ranch since there are normally many sources. Found a dead calf.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: Txduckman]
#2560485
09/05/11 11:56 PM
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Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 14,077
NDN98
THF Celebrity
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Joined: Sep 2009
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: NDN98]
#2560510
09/06/11 12:11 AM
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Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 5,235
highlonesome1
THF Trophy Hunter
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THF Trophy Hunter
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 5,235 |
We are on the line. It has rained just under an inch last month two times. Geo-surveyors have cut sendero's across our pastures and put alot of browse on the ground. Still dead but every little bit helps. We have fawns and the deer look ok, still very huntable but I don't have any hunts booked and can't keep feeding for nothing.
Been praying alot lately.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: highlonesome1]
#2560804
09/06/11 01:59 AM
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Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,737
Dave Davidson
THF Trophy Hunter
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THF Trophy Hunter
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,737 |
In Montague County our last rain of any real substance was 10/1/10. We got 2.1 inches then. This is 3 out of 4 years of drought. And, 4 out or 4 years of intense heat. The only thing that saved us last year was some summer rains.
Without a sense of urgency, nothing ever happens.
Boy, if I say "sic em", you'd better look for something to bite. Sam Shelley, Rancher Muleshoe Texas 1892-1985 RIP
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: Dave Davidson]
#2560952
09/06/11 02:35 AM
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Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 6,483
jim1961
THF Trophy Hunter
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THF Trophy Hunter
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 6,483 |
Was at the lease this weekend and could not believe the number of cedars dying
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: txtrophy85]
#2561412
09/06/11 12:12 PM
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Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 15,061
don k
OP
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OP
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Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 15,061 |
went across hwy 41 near the Y.O to rocksprings last wednesday.
country was as bad as i'd ever seen it.
literally wanted to cry I took a couple of Ibex to the Y.O. back in April and it already looked bad then I can only imagine now.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: jim1961]
#2561845
09/06/11 03:36 PM
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Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 3,980
Texan Til I Die
Extreme Tracker
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Extreme Tracker
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 3,980 |
Was at the lease this weekend and could not believe the number of cedars dying Yep, and the prickly pears are shriveling up and the mesquites have already dropped at least half their leaves and all of their beans. But it does look like we'll have a bumper crop of tumbleweeds this year.
Silver spurs and gold tequila keep me hanging on. Pretty girls and old cantinas give me shelter from the storm.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: Texan Til I Die]
#2562165
09/06/11 05:51 PM
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Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 19,498
Erathkid
THF Celebrity
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THF Celebrity
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 19,498 |
Cedars,oaks, dying or dead at our place.Looks bad in some areas.The eastern facing canyons look better than the western facing,but the whole place just looks rough.Lots of dozing next spring.
Life is too short, as is. Don't chance it. Don't text and drive.
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: Erathkid]
#2567204
09/08/11 02:46 PM
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Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 48
Haulingboat
Light Foot
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Light Foot
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 48 |
Long range forecast for US/Canada
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Re: Doesn't look good
[Re: Haulingboat]
#2567222
09/08/11 02:56 PM
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Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 8,398
Stompy
THF Trophy Hunter
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THF Trophy Hunter
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 8,398 |
Put out my first roll of hay yesterday. If it doesn't rain and I have to keep putting it out, I will run out in December..Got a total of 50 head of cattle on over a 1000 acres and their still losing weight. 300lbs of cubes every 5 days with protein licks out and hay and I can't keep up..
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