The late rifle hunt is a fun hunt, and if you're willing to hike a bit, then success rate is pretty good. Still can be very weather-dependent, but generally just cold. I have hunted it 3 times, and also taken a partner down for another early archery hunt. Having an outfitter to help with recovery is really a plus. Odds of drawing the tag is between 10-20%, in most of the high tag number hunts. Also look/talk to outfitters about zero hunt fee programs. Several of them do these.