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Mar 25th, 2012
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weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? #5385487 10/29/14 12:20 AM
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Sparky45 Offline OP
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for the last 45 days I have been reading little snippets here and there about this El Nino pattern that will be giving Texas more moisture and we would have a wetter than usual winter

Where is it?


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5385490 10/29/14 12:21 AM
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bang Not on my place bang



Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: stxranchman] #5385503 10/29/14 12:24 AM
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Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang



Our's either. Unless something change's, I figure in 5 years, Lake Lavon will be nothing more than a dust bowl.


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5385505 10/29/14 12:25 AM
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Winter doesn't officially start until December, we are still in the Fall part of the year.


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5385514 10/29/14 12:26 AM
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Not here either. I thought they said the last half of September was going to give us some goo rain, didn't happen, now I hear it's going to be a colder winter than normal.

Guess they don't know what to predict.

Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: dogcatcher] #5385517 10/29/14 12:27 AM
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Originally Posted By: dogcatcher
Winter doesn't officially start until December, we are still in the Fall part of the year.


smiling Sam said it would start this fall.
I swear he looks like a jack [censored] eating a prickly pear


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: janie] #5385561 10/29/14 12:44 AM
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Originally Posted By: janie
Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang



Our's either. Unless something change's, I figure in 5 years, Lake Lavon will be nothing more than a dust bowl.
Janie, I hope you're wrong. We both get our drinking water from Lavon. BTW, this hasn't stopped developers from building massive subdivisions around here, with no consequences, yet. They should be required to add rainwater harvesting systems to houses they build.


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: stxranchman] #5385705 10/29/14 01:35 AM
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Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang


I could've sworn it started in May. Wettest Summer the area elderly recall seeing in their lifetimes.

Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: rifleman] #5385740 10/29/14 01:49 AM
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Originally Posted By: rifleman
Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang


I could've sworn it started in May. Wettest Summer the area elderly recall seeing in their lifetimes.

I have had 16" year to date. 10.5" of that was in May and June. Since first week of July I have had less than 3" total in about 12 rain showers. It looks like August here with the dry Sept. Trees and brush are stressing now. Little rain shower 9 days ago(.6" to .8") helped but the heat is working against it now.



Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Erathkid] #5385787 10/29/14 02:04 AM
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Originally Posted By: Erathkid
Originally Posted By: janie
Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang



Our's either. Unless something change's, I figure in 5 years, Lake Lavon will be nothing more than a dust bowl.
Janie, I hope you're wrong. We both get our drinking water from Lavon. BTW, this hasn't stopped developers from building massive subdivisions around here, with no consequences, yet. They should be required to add rainwater harvesting systems to houses they build.


I hope I'm wrong as well. The growth around us and amount of irrigation systems the developer's are putting in, is over whelming. I know alot of our water is recycled. Even black water. Irregardless, the waste far exceed's what is being replenished.

Our member's in SE TX and all along the gulf coast will hate me for this, but we need a damn/slow moving/heavy dumping tropical depression to work it's way in, and sit on top of TX. For a week.


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5385790 10/29/14 02:05 AM
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Originally Posted By: Sparky45
Originally Posted By: dogcatcher
Winter doesn't officially start until December, we are still in the Fall part of the year.


smiling Sam said it would start this fall.
I swear he looks like a jack [censored] eating a prickly pear


I knew Sam's parents, met them in the early 1970's. I met Sam later, I think it was the late 80's or early 90's or 90's, he was still peddling basketballs...


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5385834 10/29/14 02:24 AM
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My younger sister went on one date with smiley during high school and figured out no maas.

Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: bp3] #5385915 10/29/14 02:58 AM
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Originally Posted By: bp3
My younger sister went on one date with smiley during high school and figured out no maas.


ok , there's a story there....


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: stxranchman] #5385917 10/29/14 03:01 AM
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Originally Posted By: stxranchman
Originally Posted By: rifleman
Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang


I could've sworn it started in May. Wettest Summer the area elderly recall seeing in their lifetimes.

I have had 16" year to date. 10.5" of that was in May and June. Since first week of July I have had less than 3" total in about 12 rain showers. It looks like August here with the dry Sept. Trees and brush are stressing now. Little rain shower 9 days ago(.6" to .8") helped but the heat is working against it now.


In all my driving over the past cpl months I must say that we're sitting pretty..and I concur with you about the Canadian looking lush and huntable. We got several weeks from May-June with 10"+ of rain, and a cpl rains since planting that produced 1.5-2.5". More on the way tomorrow.

Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: rifleman] #5385947 10/29/14 03:11 AM
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Originally Posted By: rifleman
Originally Posted By: stxranchman
Originally Posted By: rifleman
Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang


I could've sworn it started in May. Wettest Summer the area elderly recall seeing in their lifetimes.

I have had 16" year to date. 10.5" of that was in May and June. Since first week of July I have had less than 3" total in about 12 rain showers. It looks like August here with the dry Sept. Trees and brush are stressing now. Little rain shower 9 days ago(.6" to .8") helped but the heat is working against it now.


In all my driving over the past cpl months I must say that we're sitting pretty..and I concur with you about the Canadian looking lush and huntable. We got several weeks from May-June with 10"+ of rain, and a cpl rains since planting that produced 1.5-2.5". More on the way tomorrow.

Did you go up through Aspermont and Guthrie and Paducah? It has been green around Guthrie for the last 3 yrs now and this year it was really green. It rained on my trip to Kansas the day before I went thru and then a week later the day before I came home.



Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5385954 10/29/14 03:15 AM
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This year the playa lakes in the Lubbock area have water in them, better than the last couple of years.


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5385965 10/29/14 03:20 AM
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We run 287 all the way.

Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: rifleman] #5385978 10/29/14 03:28 AM
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Rain? What for our broomweed is pretty and green enough.

Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5386150 10/29/14 10:54 AM
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The El Nino chances started out at 80% and the odds are still dropping.


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Boy, if I say "sic em", you'd better look for something to bite. Sam Shelley, Rancher Muleshoe Texas 1892-1985 RIP
Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5386270 10/29/14 01:00 PM
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Quote:
smiling Sam said it would start this fall.


Well then call smiling Sam. Really, its a no-brainer.


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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5386289 10/29/14 01:12 PM
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Look at climate.gov. It has a 65% chance and they say(assuming it happens) that it should start in October or November. But, they also say it will be a weak one.


Without a sense of urgency, nothing ever happens.

Boy, if I say "sic em", you'd better look for something to bite. Sam Shelley, Rancher Muleshoe Texas 1892-1985 RIP
Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: janie] #5386290 10/29/14 01:13 PM
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Originally Posted By: janie
...we need a damn/slow moving/heavy dumping tropical depression to work it's way in, and sit on top of TX. For a week.


I'm in this camp.... Dry, dry, dry... up

Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5386294 10/29/14 01:15 PM
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scratch wow they predicted this 45 days ago confused2 have seen on the 4 day prediction were they been wrong. theirs always hope flag



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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Erathkid] #5386313 10/29/14 01:27 PM
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Originally Posted By: Erathkid
Originally Posted By: janie
Originally Posted By: stxranchman
bang Not on my place bang



Our's either. Unless something change's, I figure in 5 years, Lake Lavon will be nothing more than a dust bowl.
Janie, I hope you're wrong. We both get our drinking water from Lavon. BTW, this hasn't stopped developers from building massive subdivisions around here, with no consequences, yet. They should be required to add rainwater harvesting systems to houses they build.

Ya'll had ta ration water yet? were i was a water-meter--reader lake got low, & they started rationing water. they went high-tech, Blesssed with some good rain, not sure how things are know. Best Wishes & Prayers flag



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Re: weather predictions where is the El Nino we were promised? [Re: Sparky45] #5386329 10/29/14 01:40 PM
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I tell you, the best job in the world is weatherman. You can be wrong more than right, and still keep your job.

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